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CATEGORY: why is bitcoin up today


Nov 12, 2024 12:05

Bitcoin Price Blasts Through $82,000: These Are The Key Reasons

Bitcoin surged past the $82,000 mark on Binance, marking a substantial 17% increase since the public announcement of Donald Trumps victory in the recent US presidential election on Wednesday, November 6. Over the past weekend, the BTC price staged a rare weekend pump, rallying by more than 6%. While there are several reasons for this move, one clear main reason stands out: The victory of Donald Trump. #1 The Bitcoin Trump Pump Donald Trump’s victory has significantly bolstered Bitcoin’s market sentiment, primarily due to his campaign promises and supportive legislative initiatives. During his election campaign, Trump pledged to establish a national Bitcoin reserve by retaining ownership of the 208,000 Bitcoins confiscated through various law enforcement actions over the years. Senator Cynthia Lummis, a Republican from Wyoming often dubbed the Bitcoin Senator for her staunch advocacy, introduced the Bitcoin Act. This legislation aims to acquire 1 million BTC within a five-year timeframe. As Bitcoinist reported, the Bitcoin reserve could become a reality quite fast. BTC Inc. David Bailey, who is a key Bitcoin advisor to Trump, said recently that it could be done within the first 100 days of Trump’s term. In light of this, crypto research firm Matrixport writes in their latest investor note: With expectations that Trump will transform US regulatory policies into a more pro-crypto environment, the bullish momentum appears difficult to halt. With his inauguration set for January 20, 2025, the market has several weeks to sustain this rally. Related Reading: How High Can Bitcoin Go In 2025? Legendary Trader Reveals Arthur Hayes, founder of BitMEX, echoed this optimism on X: Some of y’all don’t believe Trump is about to trash the $ and print money. BTC disagrees. Here is Bitcoin leading vs. my new money supply indicator US Bank Credit. The market is speaking, listen up. Renowned crypto analyst MacroScope (@MacroScope17) further elaborated on the implications for institutional investors: Very important for BTC traders to understand how the game has changed since the election. In the institutional world, investments are built around having a thesis […] Its hard to overstate how much the thesis has now changed for BTC in terms of the policy/political element. #2 Rumors About Bitcoin Nation-State Adoption The strategic plans to establish a national Bitcoin reserve under Trump carry substantial geopolitical weight, potentially igniting a global race to amass Bitcoin reserves. David Bailey remarked, The Bitcoin Space Race has begun, noting that the game theory is playing out faster than anyone could have expected. Mike Alfred, founder and Managing Partner of Alpine Fox LP, shared his excitement on X: I just got a call out of the blue. It was someone important and they said someone huge is buying Bitcoin in size tonight. I almost couldnt believe it when they said the name. Wild. We are going so much higher. Related Reading: Economist Predicts Blow-Off Top For Bitcoin At $123,000 Post-Trump Win Bailey commented on November 10, There is at least one nation state that has been actively acquiring Bitcoin and is now a top 5 holder. Hopefully, we hear from them soon. His assertion, accompanied by a meme suggesting certainty over speculation. He added on the size: Top 5 holder of bitcoin across all users. There is at least one nation state that has been actively acquiring Bitcoin and is now a top 5 holder. Hopefully we hear from them soon. David Bailey $0.85mm/btc is the floor (@DavidFBailey) November 9, 2024 #3 Short Squeeze A significant short squeeze has also contributed to Bitcoins price surge. Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, commented on X: Circa $1B of shorts squeezed! From the weekend move from $76 to $81K. Open interest at the same level as when BTC traded at $62K. Provided funding continues to settle down, a very healthy up move. Data from Coinglass corroborates this, revealing that on Sunday, $133.15 million in BTC shorts were liquidated, with additional $33 million on Saturday. This substantial liquidation of short positions has reduced selling pressure, thereby fueling further upward momentum in Bitcoins price. #4 Retail Is Back The resurgence of retail interest has been another pivotal factor in Bitcoins recent rally. Cameron Winklevoss, founder of Gemini, observed on X: The road to $80k bitcoin was paved with steady ETF demand. Not retail FOMO. Little fanfare. People buy ETFs, they dont sell them. This is sticky HODL-like capital. Floor keeps rising. Where are we in the cycle? We just won the coin toss, innings havent started. Google Trends data supports this narrative, indicating a 53% increase in Bitcoin-related searches since the first weekend of October. On November 10, Bitcoin web searches peaked at 95, up from 42 points at the end of October. This surge in search activity suggests heightened retail interest and potential influxes of new investors into the market. At press time, BTC traded at $81,259. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Oct 30, 2024 12:05

Bitcoin Price Skyrockets Above $71,000: Key Reasons Explained

The Bitcoin price has surged past the $71,000 mark today. Over the past five days, Bitcoin’s price has rallied by more than 8.5%, climbing from $65,600 to as high as $71,118 on October 29. In the last 24 hours alone, the BTC price has increased by 3.8%. This upward momentum can be attributed to four key factors: #1 Bitcoin ETFs Attract Massive Inflows The surge in Bitcoin’s price is closely linked to substantial inflows into Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). Yesterday witnessed massive ETF flows totaling $479.4 million. BlackRock led the inflows with $315.2 million, followed by Fidelity at $44.1 million, Ark with $59.8 million, and Bitwise at $38.7 million. These significant investments coincided with Bitcoin’s price movement from $68,000 to over $71,000. Leading on-chain analyst James “Checkmate” Check highlighted a divergence between Bitcoin ETF inflows and CME Open Interest. He noted We have a divergence between Bitcoin ETF Inflows and CME Open Interest. ETF Inflows are ticking meaningfully higher, CME Open Interest is up, but not as much GBTC outflows are also minimal. We’re seeing true directional ETF inflows, and less so cash and carry trades. The divergence suggests that investors are favoring direct exposure to Bitcoin through ETFs rather than engaging in cash and carry trades involving futures contracts. The carry trade strategy in the context of US spot Bitcoin ETFs and CME futures involves buying the ETF (tracking the spot price of Bitcoin) and simultaneously shorting Bitcoin futures on the CME. This approach aims to capitalize on price differences when futures trade at a premium to the spot price (contango). The notable shift toward ETFs indicates a bullish sentiment among investors, anticipating further price appreciation. #2 The “Trump Trade” Political developments are also influencing Bitcoin’s recent rally. Singapore-based QCP Capital commented on the impact of former President Donald Trump’s interview on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast, which has gained over 32 million views and driven his Polymarket odds above 66%. Despite crypto being touted as the “Trump Trade,” Bitcoin’s correlation with Trump’s potential election victory seems to fuel the Bitcoin price rally. QCP Capital also noted that Bitcoin is up only 8% this “Uptober,” compared to an average of 21% in previous Octobers. They stated, “If spot holds at these levels, this October would mark Bitcoins fourth-worst performance in the past decade.” With total BTC perpetual futures open interest across exchanges standing at $27 billionapproaching this year’s peaka breakout above $70,000 could trigger new all-time highs, especially with more leveraged longs joining in. #3 Shorts Squeeze Amplifies Price Surge Market data indicates a significant shorts squeeze contributing to Bitcoin’s price spike. According to Coinglass, in the past 24 hours, 65,622 traders were liquidated, with total liquidations across the entire crypto market amounting to $228.51 million. Of this, $169.47 million were short liquidations. Specifically for Bitcoin, $83.61 million in shorts were liquidated. The largest single liquidation order occurred on Binance’s BTCUSDT pair, valued at $18 million. The substantial liquidation of short positions suggests that many traders were betting on a price decline and were forced to close their positions as the market moved against them. This mass unwinding of shorts can accelerate upward price movements as traders buy back into the market to cover their positions. #4 Whales Increase Buying Activity Large-scale investors, often referred to as “whales,” are playing a pivotal role in the current rally. CryptoQuant analyst Mignolet observed that Bitcoin’s rally continues, led by activity on the Binance exchange. He pointed out that Binance whales began significant involvement in the market two weeks ago during Asian trading hours, and recent declines in the Coinbase Premium Gap (CPG) alongside price increases are “a clear sign of Binance whales’ intervention. Mignolet emphasized that this should not be interpreted as a decline in US demand, but an even stronger buying pressure from Binance. Over the past two weeks, demand for US Bitcoin spot ETFs has surged, with a net inflow of approximately 47,000 Bitcoin. Since most ETF products use Coinbase, movements in CPG data are closely tied to ETF demand. He concluded, “The current Bitcoin price is being driven by Binance whales, with sustained inflows of US capital.” At press time, BTC traded at $71,340. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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