Ethereum futures open interest hits 19-month high, yet ETH price weakness intensifies

Ethereum derivatives metrics show increased activity, indicating higher interest but not necessarily a bullish trend.

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Bitcoin Makes Third Retest Of Historical Support, Analyst Sounds Alarm

An analyst has warned that support levels weaken the more they are retested and Bitcoin is now doing a third consecutive retest of a major such level. Bitcoin Is Again Retesting The Short-Term Holder Realized Price As explained by CryptoQuant community manager Maartunn in a new post on X, BTC’s latest drawdown has led to it doing another retest of the short-term holder Realized Price. The “Realized Price” here refers to an indicator that, in short, keeps track of the average cost basis of the investors or addresses on the Bitcoin network. When the value of this metric is greater than the spot price of the cryptocurrency, it means the average investor in the market could be assumed to be holding a net unrealized profit. On the other hand, the indicator being below the asset’s value suggests the dominance of losses on the blockchain. Related Reading: Ethereum Seeing High Exchange Outflows, But Watch Out For This Bearish Signal In the context of the current topic, the Realized Price of the entire userbase isn’t of interest, but that of a specific segment of it: the short-term holders (STHs). The STHs include all the investors who bought their coins within the past 155 days. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Price for the STHs over the last few months: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin spot price had slipped under the STH Realized Price in June, but it finally managed to break above the line halfway through last month. In the weeks since the asset has seen a couple of pullbacks back to the line, but it has managed to find rebounds each time. Now, after the latest decline, the coin’s price is once again retesting the level. Historically, the STH Realized Price has been a reliable point of support for the cryptocurrency during bullish periods. The explanation behind this pattern may lie in how investor psychology works. The STHs represent the fickle-minded side of the sector, who are sensitive to change. As such, whenever the price retests their cost basis, they may be prone to making panic moves. In times when the atmosphere in the market is bullish, the STHs may believe such a retest to merely be a dip opportunity, so they could decide to accumulate more. This could be why Bitcoin has found rebounds at the level in the past. While the level has generally been reliable indeed, this latest retest that BTC is facing is already the third within a narrow period. “Each time a level is tested, it becomes weaker,” notes Maartunn. Related Reading: XRP Bullish Signal: Shark & Whale Population Sharply Growing It now remains to be seen if the Bitcoin STHs still carry a bullish outlook on the cryptocurrency or if the constant pullbacks have put fear on their minds. BTC Price Bitcoin has continued its recent bearish momentum in the past 24 hours as its price has slid another 2% to reach the $64,700 level. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin price falls to 2-month low, but derivatives markets reflect traders interest

Bitcoin price is pinned below $60,000, but derivatives and stablecoin data show traders remain optimistic.

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Bitcoin bulls aim for $72K after BTC futures premium hits a 5-week high

The Bitcoin bull market is in full swing, as proved by the BTC futures premium reaching a five-week high.

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Bitcoin Forming A Signal Thats Usually Very Bullish, Analyst Says

An analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin is back above the cost basis of the short-term holders, a sign that can be bullish for the asset. Bitcoin Is Back Above The Realized Price Of Short-Term Holders As explained by CryptoQuant community manager Maartunn in a new post on X, BTC has reclaimed the Realized Price [...]

The post Bitcoin Forming A Signal Thats Usually Very Bullish, Analyst Says appeared first on Crypto Breaking News.

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Solana traders chase $180 target after SOL gains 13% in 2-days

A surge in Solana network activity, memecoin prices and optimistic derivatives markets could be a sign that SOL is aiming for $180.

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Bitcoin futures premium hits 7-week high: is the rally sustainable?

Bitcoin flirted with $70,200 on June 3, but traders fear excessive leverage might be a double-edged sword.

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Ethereum futures markets suggest rally to $3.7K is highly unlikely

Analysts warn that a spot ETH ETH approval might not produce the bullish price outcome that many traders expect. Do futures markets agree?

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Bitcoin derivatives turn bearish as traders anticipate sub $60K BTC price

Bitcoin derivatives data suggests that macroeconomic and crypto-specific factors are behind BTCs recent drop below $60,000.

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3 reasons why $65K marks the bottom for Bitcoin

Bitcoin's resilience amid price drops indicates strengthening support at the $65,000 level.

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BTC reclaims $69K, derivatives signal additional upside

Bitcoin futures and options markets indicate that the prevailing sentiment remains bullish.

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Bitcoin Slips Under $67,000: Can BTC Rely On This Historical Support Again?

Bitcoin has observed a plunge during the past day, taking the asset’s price under $67,000. Here’s the historical support level that the asset could visit next. Bitcoin Is Now Not Far From The Short-Term Holder Realized Price As analyst James Van Straten pointed out in a post on X, the Realized Price of the Bitcoin Short-Term Holders has been going up recently and currently sits around the $64,000 level. The “Realized Price” here refers to an on-chain metric that keeps track of the cost basis of the average investor in the BTC market. This indicator is based on the “Realized Cap” model for the cryptocurrency. Related Reading: Litecoin In Uphill Battle: Strong Resistance Might Block Recovery When the asset’s spot price is greater than the Realized Price, it means the investors are carrying some net unrealized profits right now. On the other hand, the coin’s value under the metric suggests the dominance of losses in the market. In the context of the current topic, the Realized Price of a specific sector segment is of interest: the Short-Term Holders (STHs). The STHs include all the investors who bought their coins within the past 155 days. Here is a chart that shows the trend in the Realized Price of the Bitcoin STHs over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin STH Realized Price rapidly climbed during the rally towards the all-time high price (ATH) earlier in the year. This trend naturally makes sense, as the STHs represent the new investors in the market, who would have had to buy at higher prices as the asset climbed up, thus pushing the cohort’s average up. Since BTC’s consolidation phase following the March ATH, the indicator’s uptrend has slowed, but its value is increasing nonetheless. After the latest increase, the metric has approached $64,000. Now, what significance does the Realized Price of the STHs have? Historically, this indicator has taken turns acting as a major support and resistance line for the cryptocurrency. During bullish periods, this metric can facilitate bottom formations for the cryptocurrency, thus keeping it above itself, while bearish trends generally witness the line acting as a barrier preventing the coin from escaping above it. Transitions beyond this level have generally reflected a flip trend for the coin. This apparent pattern has held up likely because the STHs, being the relatively inexperienced hands, can be quite reactive. The cost basis is an important level for any investor, but this cohort, in particular, can be more likely to panic when a retest of their cost basis takes place. When the sentiment in the market is bullish, the STHs could decide to buy more when the price drops to their average cost basis, believing the drawdown to be merely a “dip” opportunity. In bearish phases, though, they may react to such a retest by panic selling instead. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could See Next Top At $89,200, Crypto Analyst Suggests The chart shows that Bitcoin found support around this line during the crash at the end of April/start of May, potentially implying a bullish sentiment has continued to be dominant. With BTC seeing a drop below $67,000 in the past day and the STH Realized Price closing in at $64,000, it will be interesting to see how a potential retest would play out this time. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $66,800, down over 3% in the past week. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin Price Trading Within Dense Supply Cluster What Lies Beyond $100K?

After two weeks of strong action, the Bitcoin price seems to be back on the right track, and the bull run which once looked done and dusted appears to be roaring back to life. This previously improbable recovery is now accentuated by the premier cryptocurrencys likely return to above the important $100,000 level. However, the Bitcoin price appears to have its hands full in its quest for a six-figure valuation in the near future. The latest on-chain data suggests that the market leaders price is currently wedged within a significant range, which could determine its movement over the next few weeks. ‘Pretty Much Blue Skies Above $100’ For BTC – Analyst In his recent post on the X platform, prominent crypto analyst Checkmate shared an interesting on-chain insight, saying that the Bitcoin price is working its way through the $93,000 and $100,000. This on-chain observation is based on the supply distribution heatmap, which shows the concentration of coins acquired at different price ranges. Related Reading: Bitcoin Is Warming Up: Analyst Maps 3 Scenarios That Could Trigger the Next Big Rally The deep red shades on the distribution heatmap represent high volumes of coin activity, indicating that large clusters of investors have their cost bases in this price range. These cost bases clusters act as psychological and technical resistance zones, as investors are likely to sell when prices return to their purchase prices. As shown in the chart above, there is a significant supply barrier for the Bitcoin price in the $93,000 – $100,000 region. This suggests that the premier cryptocurrency faces significant potential selling pressure due to investors looking to break even after being in the red for so long. Interestingly, the distribution heatmap shared by Checkmate shows that beyond the $100,000 threshold, the Bitcoin supply significantly declines. This suggests low historical buying activity (lower coin amounts being held) above this price level, meaning relatively less significant resistance. Ultimately, a breach above the $100,000 mark could be the beginning of a strong upward rally for Bitcoin price, as Checkmate noted that blue skies is what lies beyond the psychological price level. However, failure to break out of the $93,000 $100,000 region could result in another extended consolidation period. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $96,680, reflecting no significant movement in the past 24 hours. According to CoinGecko data, the flagship cryptocurrency is up by more than 2% on the weekly timeframe. Related Reading: Ethereum Running Out Of Time? Analyst Says New ATH May Not Come This Cycle Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

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How to determine crypto cost basis for accurate tax filings

Calculating the cost basis of cryptocurrency for tax purposes involves considering purchase prices, transaction fees and events such as hard forks or staking rewards.

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Bitcoin Loses Historical Level, Analyst Says Reclaim And Bounce, Or Die

An analyst has pointed out how Bitcoin recently closed below a historically important on-chain level, a failure to reclaim which could spell trouble for BTC. Bitcoin Fell Below Short-Term Holder Cost Basis In Latest Crash In a new post on X, Maartunn discussed BTCs recent close below the realized price of the short-term holders and [...]

The post Bitcoin Loses Historical Level, Analyst Says Reclaim And Bounce, Or Die appeared first on Crypto Breaking News.

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Bitcoin futures open interest reaches a 16-month high: $70,000 granted?

BTC derivatives show moderate bullishness, paving the way for further gains above $70,000.

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Bitcoin price loses steam, but futures markets forecast upside above $70K

Bitcoin futures and options indicators remain stable even after BTC price swiftly rejected off the $63,500 level.

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Heres Where Ethereums Last Line Of Defense Lies, According To On-Chain Data

On-chain data shows Ethereum has broken under all major investor cost basis levels, except for one. Here’s where this price level is currently situated. Ethereum Has Only Realized Price Of Mega Whales To Rely On Now In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, analyst MAC_D has discussed about where the next major support level could lie for Ethereum. The line in question is a version of the Realized Price. The “Realized Price” is an on-chain indicator that, in short, keeps track of the average cost basis of investors belonging to a given ETH cohort. When this metric is under the spot price, it means the average member of the group is holding coins at a net loss. On the other hand, it being above the asset’s value suggests the cohort as a whole is in a state of net profit. Related Reading: Bitcoin Keeps ReboundingBut Is Momentum Really Turning Bullish? Investor cost basis is considered an important topic in on-chain analysis, as holders can be more likely to show some kind of move when their profit-loss status is challenged. Whether investors react by buying or selling can come down to which direction the retest of their acquisition level is occurring from. When it’s from above, holders may decide to accumulate more if the atmosphere is bullish, as they can consider the pullback to be just a ‘dip.’ This provides support to the asset, thus defending their cost basis. Similarly, investors who were underwater just prior to the retest might believe the surge wouldn’t last and they would fall back into losses again. So, they could make the decision to exit, to at least escape with their entire investment back. A cost basis level that has shown particular importance for not just Ethereum, but digital assets in general is the Realized Price of the entire network. As the chart shared by the quant shows, this level is currently situated around $2,250 for ETH. From the graph, it’s apparent that the line provided support to Ethereum last year, but it has failed recently as the coin’s price has significantly fallen under it. This means that the average holder on the blockchain is now sitting on a notable loss. With this major level gone, the Realized Price of the individual cohorts could help point to where the next support could be. Here is a chart displaying the trend in the indicator for investors holding between 100 to 1,000 ETH, 1,000 to 10,000 ETH, 10,000 to 100,000 ETH, and more than 100,000 ETH: As is visible in the graph, Ethereum has put three of the cohorts underwater with the latest crash. Now, only the largest of holders in the sector, those with over 100,000 ETH in their balance, are still in the green. Related Reading: Dogecoin To $0.57 Or $0.06? Analyst Says DOGEs Fate Hinges On This Level Back in the 2022 bear market, ETH found support at the Realized Price of these humongous whales. Thus, it’s possible that this line could once again be of relevance to ETH. At present, the cohort has its average acquisition level at $1,290, so it will take more bearish action before a retest can take place. ETH Price At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading around $1,500, down more than 16% in the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin Rebounds After Nearing Cost Basis Of Short-Term Whales

Bitcoin has found a rebound back above the $66,000 mark following a drop towards the on-chain cost basis of the short-term holder whales. Bitcoin Drawdown Had Nearly Put Short-Term Whales Under Pressure As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, BTC’s price had neared the Realized Price of the short-term holder whales during the recent drop, but had still managed to remain above the level. The “Realized Price” here refers to an on-chain indicator that, in short, keeps track of the cost basis (that is, the acquisition price) of the average investor in the Bitcoin market. Related Reading: PEPE Preparing For A 54% Move? Analyst Thinks So When the spot price of the cryptocurrency is trading above this level, it means that the investors as a whole are in a state of unrealized profits right now. On the other hand, it being under implies the overall market is carrying losses. In the context of the current discussion, the Realized Price of the entire Bitcoin market isn’t of interest, but that of only a part of it: the short-term holder (STH) whales. The STHs refer to the BTC investors who bought their coins within the past 155 days, while the whales are categorized as entities holding greater than 1,000 BTC. As such, the STH whales would refer to the large investors who bought during the last five months. Naturally, the Realized Price of this group would indicate the average whale buying price over the past five months (and this price would obviously have to be one the cryptocurrency had traded at on some occasion inside this timeframe). Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Realized Price for the STH whales over the last decade: The value of the metric appears to have shot up in recent months | Source: CryptoQuant From the graph, it’s visible that the Realized Price of the STH whales has rapidly climbed alongside the sharp rally Bitcoin has gone through this year. This makes sense, as the STHs represent the new hands coming into the market, who would have to buy at higher prices as the asset’s surge would continue. Not only that, but the STHs who age past the 155 days mark (that is, those who bought at the relatively low prices) exit out of the cohort, thus raising the average even further. The group that these matured investors advance to is known as the long-term holder (LTH) cohort. In the same chart, the quant has also attached the data for the Realized Price of the LTH whales as well. It would appear that these veteran whales have their cost basis at just $21,500, meaning that these investors would be getting some big rewards for their patience. In contrast, the STH whales have their Realized Price at $60,700. Related Reading: Dogecoin Usurped: These Memecoins Overtake DOGE In Active Trader Count During Bitcoin’s recent drawdown, the asset had come close to retesting this mark. Such retests have historically lead to reactions in the market and during bull runs, this reaction has often appeared in the form of buying. This may be why the cryptocurrency found its rebound near the $60,700 level. BTC Price With its latest rebound, Bitcoin has so far managed to recover back towards the $66,500 level. Looks like the price of the coin has made some recovery from its recent drop | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Thomas Kelley on Unsplash.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Ethereum (ETH) Consolidates Within Tight Range As Key Support Level Forms Details

Ethereum (ETH) prices have surged by over 3% in the past day in line with a bullish upswing across the broader crypto market. However, Ethereum on-chain data reveals the altcoin has stumbled in a range-bound market hinting at a potentially prolonged sideways movement. Related Reading: Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Show Conviction: 63% Of Supply Hasnt Moved In A Year Ethereum Trapped In $1,548 – $1,599 Range – Glassnode In a recent post on X, prominent blockchain analytics firm Glassnode reports that Ethereum is trading in a tight range between $1,548 and $1,599. This development is revealed by the asset’s cost basis distribution (CBD), which shows the various price levels at which current ETH holders bought their coins. CBD is an important on-chain metric used to identify potential support or resistance levels based on the accumulation levels seen at price zones. According to Glassnode, a combined 1.53 million ETH, valued at $2.4 billion, was acquired between $1,548 and $1,599 indicating a high level of investor interest at these price regions. In particular, 793,900 ETH currently in circulation was purchased at $1,548, ultimately transforming this price floor into a major support zone for the current Ethereum price. Meanwhile, 732,400 ETH is held by investors at $1,599 representing a significant price barrier to any upward price movement.  Interestingly, Ethereum has tested both price zones over the past day failing to produce either a price breakout or breakdown. Considering the accumulation level at both prices, the altcoin might maintain a range-bound movement barring the introduction of a market catalyst.  Interestingly, such price behavior would align with the broader market uncertainty amidst unstable macroeconomic factors and tightening liquidity conditions. Related Reading: XRP Price Flashes Symmetrical Triangle From 2017, A Repeat Could Send It as Flying To $30 Important Ethereum Support Forms At $1,461 In other developments, Glassnode also notes that Ethereum bulls are building a critical support zone at $1,461 at which 380,000 ETH, valued at $595.8 million have been acquired. In the case of any breakdown from the current consolidation zone, this price level is expected to act as the next major support preventing any further downside. However, a daily price close below $1,461 could cause ETH to trade as low as $1,400 or $1,200. At the time of writing, Ethereum trades at $1,562 reflecting a 3.35% gain in the past 24 hours. However, the ETH market remains in a deep corrective phase with 14.56% and 18.45% losses in the last seven and thirty days, respectively.  Meanwhile, the assets daily trading volume has declined by 34.06%, indicating a fall in market participation and a potential reversal of the recent rally, which would allow Ethereum to maintain a range-bound movement.   Featured image from Bankrate, chart from Tradingview

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