Bitcoin Could Top At $400,000 Based On This Model, Analyst Says

An analyst has explained how the next Bitcoin top could be situated around $400,000, if this model for the asset’s price continues to hold. Bitcoin Long-Term Power Law Could Reveal Possible Location Of Next Top In a new post on X, analyst Ali Martinez has talked about what the Long-Term Power Law could say about the next potential Bitcoin top. The “Long-Term Power Law” here refers to a BTC price model created by Bitbo. The model involves three lines, the main one being the “power law,” which is derived by taking a linear regression of the historical BTC price. “This power law is just a straight line to represent the correlation between Bitcoins price and time,” notes Bitbo in the model’s description. Related Reading: Bitcoin MVRV Ratio Is At A Critical Retest: Can Bulls Triumph? The other two lines of the model are just replicas of the power law, with the only difference being how they are arranged on the chart. One of these lines is placed under the power law just enough that BTC’s historical price either stays above it or touches it. This level of the model is called the support line. Similarly, the other line sets an upper boundary on the cryptocurrency’s price and is known as the resistance level. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Long-Term Power Law over the history of the asset: As is visible in the graph, Bitcoin’s spot price is currently being traded under the power law. The asset retested the line earlier in the year when it set its new all-time high (ATH) but couldn’t find a break. Despite the recent bearish action, though, BTC still has some distance over the support line of the model. The graph shows that Bitcoin set three of its major tops around the resistance line. However, the 2021 bull run top occurred before the asset could reach the level. Thus, it’s unknown whether or not the current BTC cycle will follow the lead of the earlier three. Related Reading: Is Altcoin Season Coming? These Two Signals Could Suggest So “If the Bitcoin Long-Term Power Law holds, the next market top might hit around $400,000!” notes Martinez, based on the fact that the resistance level would assume a value around that mark next year. As for when exactly BTC could hit its next cyclical top, the analyst has also discussed it in another X post, sharing the chart below for the asset’s performance during the last couple of cycles. “If this Bitcoin cycle follows the last two, we could see a market top in about a year, around October 2025!” says Martinez. BTC Price Bitcoin has been moving sideways over the last few days as its price still floats around the $63,200 mark. Featured image from Dall-E, Glassnode.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Longevity expert draws link between Bitcoin and anti-aging communities

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Crypto Market Sees Diverging Strategies Between Short and Long-Term Holders: Report

The famous analytical service CryptoQuant has provided some interesting information about the actions of investors in the crypto market in the last two weeks. In a recent report, the firm highlighted that there is a clear dichotomy between short-term and long-term Bitcoin holders. Now that the short-term investors are leaving due to market volatility, the […]

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Bitcoin bulls were obliterated, but is it time to catch the falling knife?

Bitcoin derivatives show traders morale is low, weakening the odds of a 20% rise from the $49,320 BTC bottom.

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Key Bitcoin price metric drops to a 2-week low Is the BTC bull market over?

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Taiwan central bank says no rush for CBDC launch

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Why Did Bitcoin Plunge Under $58,000? On-Chain Data Says This

Bitcoin has observed a crash below the $58,000 level today. Here’s what could be a potential cause for it, according to on-chain data. Bitcoin Long-Term Holders Have Just Taken Large Profits As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin long-term holders harvested a large amount of profits during the latest price drawdown. Related Reading: These Are The Altcoins In Buy Zone, Analytics Firm Reveals The on-chain metric of interest here is the “Spent Output Profit Ratio” (SOPR), which basically tells about whether the BTC investors are selling/transferring their coins at a profit or loss. When the value of this indicator is greater than 1, it means the holders as a whole are realizing a net profit with their selling right now. On the other hand, the metric being under this threshold implies the dominance of loss-taking in the market. In the context of the current topic, the SOPR of a specific segment of the user base is of interest: the long-term holders (LTHs). This cohort includes the investors who have been holding onto their coins since more than 155 days ago. The LTHs are considered to be the resolute side of the market, as they rarely sell regardless of whatever may be going on in the wider market. As such, the times that they do sell can be all the more noteworthy. It would appear that the recent Bitcoin market conditions have managed to break even these diamond hands, as the below chart for their SOPR suggests. As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin LTH SOPR has seen a high density of spikes above the 1 mark during the past day. This would suggest that these HODLers have moved some coins that were previously carrying significant profits. More particularly, the indicator hit a value of more than 10 during a lot of these spikes, implying that this group realized profits equal to over ten times the losses during those transactions. As the LTH SOPR spikes came just before BTC’s descent towards the levels under $58,000, it would seem possible that this profit-taking push from these normally-resolute investors was at least in part behind the crash. Another indicator, the Bitcoin Spent Output Age Bands (SOAB), has revealed the breakdown of these LTH transactions. From the chart, it’s apparent that the most active LTH segment during this selloff was the 5-year to 7-year group, meaning that most of the coins sold were previously dormant between 5 and 7 years ago. Related Reading: Crypto Analyst Says Next Bitcoin Target Is $78,700 If BTC Breaks This Resistance It’s hard to say why these old entities have suddenly decided to sell after sitting out a whole cycle, but if this is the start of a selling spree from them, then things might get even worse for Bitcoin. BTC Price Bitcoin had very briefly slipped under the $57,000 level during the latest crash, but the asset appears to have made some recovery since then, as it’s back at $57,700. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

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3 ways futures traders can use leverage and avoid liquidation losses

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Bitcoin Recovery Stalls As HODLers Apply Selling Pressure

On-chain data shows that Bitcoin long-term holders have potentially been selling recently, something that may explain BTC’s continued bearish momentum. Bitcoin Exchange Inflow CDD Has Registered Huge Spikes Recently As an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post explained, old cryptocurrency tokens have recently been deposited in large quantities in centralized exchanges. The on-chain metric of interest here is the “Exchange Inflow Coin Days Destroyed (CDD).” A “coin day” refers to a quantity that 1 BTC accumulates after staying dormant on the blockchain for 1 day. Related Reading: Bitcoin Crash Forced Weak Hands Into Largest Loss-Taking Since 2022 Lows: Report When a coin that had been sitting still inside a wallet is finally moved, its coin days counter naturally resets back to zero, and the coin days it had been carrying before the move are said to be “destroyed.” The CDD keeps track of the total amount of coin days being reset in this manner across the network. In the context of the current topic, though, the general CDD isn’t the one of focus, but rather the Exchange Inflow CDD, which only keeps track of the coin days being destroyed through transactions into wallets connected to exchanges. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Exchange Inflow CDD over the past month or so: As is visible in the above graph, the Bitcoin Exchange Inflow CDD has registered some spikes of considerable scale this month. This would imply that many dormant coins have recently seen deposits into exchanges. Generally, spikes in the CDD correlate to movement from the long-term holders (LTHs), as these HODLers tend to accumulate large amounts of coin days. Therefore, the recent spikes in the Exchange Inflow CDD suggest that these diamond hands have been transferred to exchanges. Holders make transactions into exchanges when they want to use one of the services these platforms provide, which can include selling. The chart shows that the spikes earlier in the month had come when Bitcoin had plunged towards its lows, implying that the selling pressure from this cohort may have played a role in the crash. The latest spike, larger in scale than the others, has come while BTC has been trying to start a recovery rally from these recent lows. So far, BTC has had no luck, suggesting that the selling from the LTHs has potentially been holding the coin back. Related Reading: Chainlink Traders Capitulate After 10% Plunge: Bottom Here? It remains to be seen how the Exchange Inflow CDD behaves in the coming days and if any potential further spikes would impede Bitcoin in its path to recovery. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $57,900, up more than 4% over the past week. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Ripple President Optimistic About an XRP ETF Launch

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The post Ripple President Optimistic About an XRP ETF Launch first appeared on The Crypto Basic.

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Ripple President: It is Sensible To Launch XRP ETF

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The post Ripple President: It is Sensible To Launch XRP ETF first appeared on The Crypto Basic.

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The post Why You Should Diversify Your Digital Asset Portfolio appeared first on Crypto Breaking News.

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The post Crypto’s Long-Tail Disruptive Trends appeared first on Crypto Breaking News.

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No clear catalyst for bloodbath as top altcoins fall double digits

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