Ethereum Flashes Golden Cross Signal Can Bulls Push ETH To $3,000?

Ethereum is now trading at a pivotal juncture after days of consistent selling pressure that have pushed the price down by more than 12% since last Tuesday. Currently hovering around the $2,400 mark, ETH is struggling to maintain bullish momentum, and many analysts warn that a deeper correction could follow if bulls fail to defend this crucial support zone. The recent drop reflects broader market uncertainty, with rising volatility shaking investor confidence just as ETH appeared ready to join a wider altcoin breakout. Related Reading: Cardano Whale Activity Spikes 80 Million ADA Added In 48 Hours Despite this weakness, theres growing optimism in some corners of the market. Top analyst Ted Pillows shared a technical analysis showing that a Golden Cross has been confirmed on Ethereums 12-hour chart a signal traditionally viewed as a precursor to major bullish moves. This crossover, which occurs when the 50-period moving average crosses above the 200-period moving average, often marks the beginning of an extended uptrend. If bulls manage to hold current levels and reclaim higher resistance near $2,600, the Golden Cross could become a turning point. Until then, the coming days will be critical in determining whether Ethereum can bounce or sink into a longer consolidation phase. Volatility Hits Ethereum Amid Golden Cross Signal Ethereum saw sharp volatility over the weekend, surging past $2,550 before rapidly reversing and falling back into the $2,400 zone within hours. This sudden move has sparked renewed uncertainty, as analysts grow cautious about the fading bullish momentum and rising selling pressure. While ETH remains one of the stronger performers in the broader altcoin market, it is still down 36% from its December high of around $4,100. This leaves bulls with a clear challenge: hold current levels and regain control by pushing prices above $2,800 to ignite a sustained rally. The $2,400 level is now acting as a critical support zone. A break below it could trigger a deeper retracement, likely dragging Ethereum into a consolidation range or even toward lower support levels. Still, technical signals offer a glimmer of hope. According to Pillows, Ethereum recently confirmed a Golden Cross on the 12-hour chart a bullish pattern that occurs when the 50-period moving average crosses above the 200-period moving average. Historically, such signals have preceded strong upside moves, and Pillow believes this one could pave the way for Ethereum to reach $3,000 in the near term. However, for that to happen, buyers must step in decisively. Volume has tapered off, and sentiment appears fragile after last week’s breakdown. If bulls can defend the $2,400 region and reclaim higher resistance quickly, the Golden Cross might mark the beginning of Ethereums next leg up. Until then, the market remains in a wait-and-see mode, watching whether the bullish signal can outweigh the growing pressure from sellers. Related Reading: XRP Flashes Bullish Signal Technical Indicator Hints At Imminent Rebound ETH Tests Key Support After Drop From Local Highs Ethereum is trading at $2,402 after a sharp Sunday sell-off, where the price spiked to $2,670 before retracing more than 10% in less than 24 hours. As seen in the 4-hour chart, ETH is now consolidating right above the $2,390$2,400 zone, a level that is proving critical for bulls to hold. This area coincides with a prior consolidation zone and could act as a short-term support base. The 200-period EMA on the 4H chart is currently at $2,130, and the 200 SMA is near $1,991 both are significantly below the current price and offer long-term trend support. However, the volume profile shows a spike in sell-side activity during the pullback, suggesting that short-term traders are locking in profits. If price breaks below $2,390, a deeper retrace toward the $2,200$2,300 range becomes likely. Related Reading: Bitcoin Consolidates Below ATH Buying Pressure Weakens As Equities Outperform On the upside, ETH must reclaim $2,550 to reestablish momentum. Failure to do so could confirm a local top. The price action is clearly indecisive, and this range-bound structure could persist unless bulls reassert strength with a decisive move above $2,600. Until then, the $2,400 level remains a battleground between buyers and sellers amid elevated volatility. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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Bitcoin Not Out Of Danger Yet, NVT Golden Cross Warns

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Golden Cross still has a high value, a sign that may be bearish for BTC. Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Is Still Near Historical Top Zone In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst discussed the recent trend in the NVT Golden Cross for BTC and its [...]

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This Bitcoin Indicator May Have Signaled Latest Market Downturn In Advance

The Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT) Golden Cross indicator attained overheated values coinciding with the recent local top in the price. Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Surged To 3.17 During Recent Peak An analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post explained that the NVT Golden Cross may have served as an indicator of the recent top in cryptocurrency prices. The “NVT” refers to an on-chain metric that tracks the ratio between Bitcoin’s market cap and transaction volume (both in USD). This ratio is generally used to determine whether the asset’s price is fair or not. Related Reading: Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Capitulate: $5.2 Billion Sold At Loss When the indicator has a high value, the asset’s price (the market cap) is high compared to its utility (the transaction volume). Such a trend may suggest that the coin could be overvalued currently. On the other hand, the low metric could suggest the network isn’t valued fairly compared to its high ability to transact capital, and as such, its price may be due to an uplift. In the context of the current discussion, the NVT itself isn’t interesting, but rather, a modified version called the NVT Golden Cross is. This metric compares the short-term trend of the NVT (10-day moving average) against its long-term trend (30-day MA). Like the NVT, this variant is also used to estimate the fairness of the asset. Historically, values greater than 2.2 have been a signal that BTC is overheated, as the short-term trend is notably outpacing the long-term at these levels. Similarly, values under the -1.6 level may indicate that the cryptocurrency is undervalued; hence, its price may likely form a bottom and find a rebound soon. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross over the last few years: The value of the metric seems to have been going up in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross rose to relatively high levels earlier. This growth happened as the asset’s price rallied towards the $71,000 level. The metric had touched the 3.17 mark in this surge, which suggests the coin may have become too overpriced. Indeed, the asset followed this by observing a sharp drawdown, which took it back under the $65,000 level. As the quant has marked in the chart, a similar pattern of the NVT Golden Cross hitting these high levels and resulting in a price correction was observed at different points over the last few years. Related Reading: Bitcoin Traders No Longer Extremely Greedy: Rebound Signal? Since the latest overheated signal, the indicator has cooled off alongside the Bitcoin price, although it hasn’t gone towards the negative side yet. BTC Price Bitcoin has recovered over the past day as its price has now climbed back to $67,800. Looks like the price of the asset has seen some uplift over the last 24 hours | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin Price Flashes Golden Cross That Only Happens Once Every Cycle, What To Expect

The Bitcoin price has just printed a rare Golden Cross on the weekly chart a technical signal that historically appears once every market cycle. This Golden Cross has previously preceded some of Bitcoins most explosive bull runs, and analysts are eyeing its return as a sign that the next bullish leg up could be near. A Golden Cross occurs when a shorter-term Moving Average (MA), usually the 50-week MA, crosses above a longer-term one, like the 20-week MA. In the crypto world, this technical formation is perceived as a significantly bullish indicator that often leads to a long-term trend reversal or the start of a new uptrend. While the signal alone doesnt guarantee gains, Bitcoins price history suggests its one worth watching closely.  Bitcoin Price Flashes Super Rare Golden Cross According to Merlijn The Trader, a crypto analyst on X (formerly Twitter), the Bitcoin price has just flashed a Golden Cross, one that has only been seen three times in the past decade. Each time Bitcoin has printed this Golden Cross, it has undergone a parabolic move upwards.  Related Reading: Is The Bitcoin Price Top In At $109,000 Already? What The MVRV Z-Score Says In 2016, Bitcoin recorded a massive surge of 139% after flashing a Golden Cross on its price chart. Similarly, in the 2017 bull cycle, the flagship cryptocurrency underwent another crossover, which led to an astonishing 2,200% increase, marking one of its most parabolic rallies and capturing the attention of the world.  In 2020, during the historic bull market that led to Bitcoins global exposure and dominance, the same Golden Cross pattern was formed. Following this, Bitcoin recorded a 1,190% rally, pushing its price to its then all-time high near $69,000 in 2021.  Now, in 2025, five years after the previous Golden Cross appearance, Bitcoin has once again printed this powerful signal and could be on the verge of another historic rally. The analysts price chart shows the crossover forming clearly, with many comparisons to the previous cycle setups  While the exact percentage price increase this time remains unknown, the consistency of the pattern has sparked the analysts prediction that Bitcoin may be gearing up for a powerful rally above $200,000.  Analyst Predicts BTCs Next ATH Target In another similarly bullish Bitcoin price analysis, Crypto Caeser, an analyst on X, has projected that the flagship cryptocurrency will soon hit a new ATH this cycle. While many suggest that the Bitcoin price surge above $109,000 during US President Donald Trump’s inauguration was its market top, a significant portion of the community still expect a rally to a higher peak before a bear market.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Sees Highest Exchange Outflows In 2 Years, What This Means For Price Sharing a Bitcoin price chart that outlines its possible bullish trajectory, Crypto Caeser predicts that the flagship cryptocurrency could be heading to a weak high of $110,000. The analyst has pinpointed a key support zone around $90,000, emphasizing that this was the most optimal price level for maximum buying. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: The Last Leg-Up That Confirms A Resounding Rally To $150,000

A new Bitcoin price prediction suggests that the flagship cryptocurrency needs just one more leg up to kickstart a powerful bullish move toward $150,000 and beyond. With Bitcoin getting ready to once again hit new all-time highs, technical formations suggest that this projected rally could be the final confirmation of a long-term breakout.   Bitcoin Price Roadmap To $150,000 ATH A new Bitcoin price analysis released by market expert CrediBull Crypto on X (formerly Twitter) predicts that BTC is gearing up for a massive surge to $150,000. The analyst shared a Bitcoin price chart, using Elliott Wave theory on the lower time frames to break down the roadmap to this new all-time high target.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Bullish Confirmation: What Needs To Happen For Next Leg Up To $130,000 Bitcoin is currently forming a 5-wave impulse move on the lower timeframe. The recent price action suggests that it has completed sub-waves i, ii, iii, iv, and v, collectively forming what appears to be Wave 1. Following this, the cryptocurrency experienced a collective pullback in Wave 2, which acted as support and now serves as a launchpad for the next major leg in Wave 3the longest and most explosive wave in an impulse sequence.   If the next wave completes to the upside, it would strongly suggest that Bitcoin is not in a corrective pattern but rather an impulsive trend that could take it to a six-figure valuation once again.  CrediBull Crypto has highlighted $89,000 as a critical level for Bitcoin. He suggested that if the cryptocurrency drops below this price zone before pushing higher, the Elliott Wave structure would likely morph into a 3-legged corrective pattern rather than a 5-wave impulse. This move would imply that the projected rally is not the start of a macro breakout, and the market may have to wait longer for a confirmation.  On the other hand, holding above $89,000 and printing a higher high would complete the anticipated final leg up, validating the start of the large Wave 3 on higher time frames. This bullish scenario would support a strong accumulation strategy, where price declines could become opportunities to buy as Bitcoin targets $150,000 or more.  MVRV Golden Cross Signals BTC Bull Rally Bitcoins Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has formed a Golden Cross with its 365-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), according to fresh data shared by crypto analyst Ali Martínez. The analyst has shared an optimistic outlook for Bitcoin, highlighting that this technical event could spark the next BTC bull rally.  Related Reading: Bitcoin Price Following Analysts Prediction For Bullish Breakout, Heres The Target The Bitcoin chart, published via CryptoQuant, highlights the MVRV ratio surging above the long-term Moving Average. A rising MVRV ratio typically suggests that BTC holders are once again in profit, and sentiment is shifting from bearish to bullish. The last time this crossover occurred, Bitcoin saw a multi-month rally that pushed its price to new all-time highs. Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com

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Cardano (ADA) Price Rally Is Far From Over, Heres Why

Cardano (ADA) has notably trailed behind that of its contemporaries in the ongoing crypto bull run. While Bitcoin has surged to record new all-time highs, alongside a suite of other altcoins, ADA remains approximately 77% beneath its peak historical value. However, emerging technical patterns and market dynamics suggest that this trend could be poised for a reversal, with ADA potentially gearing up to narrow the gap. Cardano Bull Flag Formation: An In-Depth Look Central to this analysis is the bull flag pattern in the ADA/USD weekly chart. The bull flag pattern observed here is composed of two primary elements: the flagpole and the flag. The flagpole is a significant vertical ascent in price, representing a rapid increase in buying pressure. For ADA, this pole formed from mid-October till mid-December and reflects an approximate 185% surge. The flag, following the pole, is a period of consolidation with a downward slope, resembling a flag on a pole. For ADA, the pole developed from mid-December to early February. A subsequent breakout above the flag can often lead to a price rally proportionate to the initial pole’s height. Related Reading: Cardano (ADA) Price Alert: Analyst Predicts 60% Rally In Next 7 Days The Cardano price already broke out and surpassed the crucial resistance at $0.685. If ADA further follows this technical playbook, the rally is far from over. The projected target would be an 185% increase from the consolidation zones breakout point, placing the price close to the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement level, which is around $1.35. Remarkably, the Cardano price must first overcome the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level at $0.92, an area where greater selling pressure and possibly a shorter consolidation can be expected. Golden Cross And More Bullish Arguments The chart also teases the formation of a golden cross, a bullish signal where a shorter-term moving average (the 50-week EMA) crosses above a longer-term average (the 200-week EMA). Such crossovers can often signal a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish over the long term, and their significance is heightened on a weekly chart, which filters out short-term market noise. Traders often view this crossover as confirmation of a trend reversal, with the potential to catalyze sustained buying activity. For ADA, this could be the final confirmation of a strong bull move. Related Reading: Cardano Price About To Explode: Crypto Pundit Reveals Next Target Beyond that, the weekly chart for ADA presents a broader narrative. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits just above the overbought threshold at 74, which indicates strong buying momentum with more room to the upside. The volume, though lower than during the peak periods of 2021, is consistent, suggesting a stable interest in ADA trading without the panic sell-offs seen during sharp declines. Moreover, a series of Exponential Moving Averages (20-week, 50-week, 100-week, and 200-week) provide further context as ADA is trading above all of them. Notably, the 200-week EMA has recently acted as a very strong support for the price, indicative of long-term bullish sentiment. The 50-week EMA is trending upward, which could solidify support levels in the intermediate term. The 100-week and 200-week EMAs are further below the current price, potentially serving as long-term support levels in case of a price retracement. In addition, the Fibonacci retracement levels drawn from the all-time high to the low of the ADA bear market provide long-term price targets. Following the bull flag conclusion, the 0.5 level at $1.697, marking the halfway point of the previous swing high to low, could serve as a next target for the bulls. Thereafter, the 0.618 Fib at $2.04, the 0.786 Fib at $2.54 and finally the all-time high at $3.17 would be subsequent price targets. In conclusion, while the bull flag and the impending golden cross are the stars of the show, other factors such as moving averages, RSI, and Fibonacci levels add depth to the bullish narrative for the Cardano price. Featured image from Shutterstock, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin Bearish Signal: NVT Golden Cross Enters Overbought Zone

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross has entered into the overbought region, something that could be bearish for the price. Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Has Been Going Up Recently As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the most recent touch of this zone led to a drop in the price of the cryptocurrency. The “Network Value to Transactions” (NVT) is an indicator that measures the ratio between the market cap of Bitcoin and its transaction volume (both in USD). What this metric tells is whether the asset is overpriced or underpriced right now, based on how the value of the network (the market cap) compares with its ability to transact coins (the transaction volume). High values of the indicator suggest the cryptocurrency’s cap is inflated compared to its volume, and hence, the coin’s price may be overvalued currently. Similarly, low values can imply the asset may be undervalued at the moment. Now, a metric derived from the NVT is the “NVT Golden Cross,” which compares the 30-day moving average (MA) of the NVT with its 10-day MA. By taking the ratio of the long-term and short-term trends like this, the indicator can help point out the tops and bottoms in the NVT. Here is a chart that displays how the value of the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross has changed over the past year: The value of the metric seems to have been climbing in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant As shown in the above graph, the quant has marked the historical regions where the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross has signaled underbought and overbought conditions for the asset. It looks like the values of the metric above 2.2 have been a sign that the cryptocurrency is undersold, while those below the -1.6 level have implied an oversold condition. Related Reading: Bitcoin Market At Decision Point: aSOPR Retests Crucial Level From the chart, it’s visible that the indicator touched the underpriced region last month, and the price reacted by observing some bullish momentum. Since then, the metric has seen an overall uptrend. A week or so ago, when Bitcoin was floating around the $30,000 level, the NVT Golden Cross entered inside the overpriced region. Following this formation, the price faced some severe drawdown as it plunged to the low $27,000 level. The metric cooled down for a while following this selloff, but in the past couple of days, it has once again risen to touch the red zone. This would mean that the asset may be becoming overbought again. Over the past day, however, Bitcoin has actually only observed some strong upwards momentum, as the coin’s value has now recovered to levels above $29,000 again. Related Reading: Polygon Exchange Supply Spikes, More Downtrend Incoming? In the past, tops haven’t always been immediately formed whenever the NVT Golden Cross has surged to this area, so this wouldn’t exactly be unprecedented. However, considering that the surge may have only made the coin more overpriced, a local top may be hit soon for the asset, if this metric’s pattern is anything to go by. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $29,400, up 1% in the last week. Looks like BTC has sharply surged over the last 24 hours | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from mana5280 on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

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Bitcoin Bearish Signal: NVT Golden Cross Enters Sell Zone

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin NVT golden cross has now entered into the “sell” zone, something that could be bearish for the price of the crypto. Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Surges, Now Has A Value Of 2.44 As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, this sell signal might lead to BTC’s price dropping in the next ten days. The “Network Value to Transactions ratio” (NVT ratio) is an indicator that’s defined as the market cap divided by the transacted volume in a specific period. What this metric tells us is how the value of Bitcoin currently compares with the investors’ ability to transact coins, and thus if the crypto is undervalued or overvalued right now. One application of this ratio is through the NVT golden cross, which compares the short-term (10-day moving average) and the long-term (30-day moving average) trends in NVT to indicate tops and bottoms in the crypto’s price. Related Reading: Which Cryptocurrencies To Buy in 2023: Chainlink (LINK), Aave (AAVE), and Orbeon Protocol (ORBN) Historically, the metric’s value being higher than 2.2 has usually been a signal to sell, while it being less than -1.6 has been a bullish sign. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin NVT golden cross over the last year: The value of the metric seems to have sharply gone up in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant As you can see in the above graph, the Bitcoin NVT golden cross has observed some sharp uptrend recently. The indicator now has a value of 2.44, meaning it has exceeded the 2.20 level that has historically implied sell signals. Related Reading: As Stepn (GMT) Decline Continues, BudBlockz (BLUNT) Offers A Better Alternative For Crypto Investors During late May, the metric saw a similar surge and rose to a peak value of 2.77. When the following month rolled around, BTC went through a huge crash from $30k to $20k. Since the crypto is once again overpriced according to the NVT golden cross, it’s possible the coin may go through more drawdown in the coming days. However, as the metric’s value is still lower than what it was at the high preceding the June crash, there might be potential for it to rise further, before the actual sell signal is in. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $16.8k, up 2% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has lost 19% in value. Below is a chart that shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days. Looks like the value of the crypto has shot up during the last couple of days | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from Mark Basarab on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

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Solana jumps past key selloff junction: SOL price eyes $150 in April

SOL price enters overbought territory but history shows that bulls are not scared of Solana's excessive valuations.

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Settle Up. Bitcoin Passed the Golden Cross

Every move the king token makes is mirrored by altcoins, changing the general market sentiment.

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Bitcoin Bullish Signal: NUPL Is Forming A Golden Cross

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Net Unrealized Profit and Loss (NUPL) is forming a golden cross, a sign that could be bullish for the price. Bitcoin NUPL 60-Day MA Has Crossed Above 365-Day MA An analyst in a CryptoQuant post pointed out that this crossover pattern has been repeated multiple times since 2013. The “Net [...]

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Ethereum Forms Weekly Golden Cross, But Is It Enough To Save Crypto?

Despite the carnage and chaos all across the crypto market due to recent US SEC-related enforcement actions, Ethereum has just given a bullish buy signal. On weekly timeframes, ETHUSD has formed a golden cross, but will it be enough to give the asset class a glimmer of hope amidst such darkness? Let’s take a closer look. Ethereum Price Golden Cross Buy Signal Forms On Weekly Chart Ethereum prices are down roughly 20% off 2023 highs, but still down more than 60% from the record peak back in 2021. Hope for a recovery across the crypto market dwindled last week, when the United States SEC launched enforcement actions against an already weakened industry. Related Reading: Bitcoin Retests Moving Average That Marked All Major Market Bottoms Other coins have plummeted by 50% or more in just days, while Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown resilience as the two top cryptocurrencies by market cap. ETHUSD has done so well in the recently bearish environment, in fact, is has formed a golden cross of the 50-week moving average and the 200-week moving average. The golden cross comes almost immediately after a death cross, nullifying a long-term sell signal with a buy signal. When using a two-moving average system, a buy signal occurs when the shorter timeframe crosses the longer timeframe span. This is called a golden cross, while the opposite crossover is called a death cross. A golden cross appears | ETHUSD on TradingView.com Will The Moving Averages Save Crypto From Further Collapse? When using moving averages as a trading signal, in addition to crossovers, price making it above or below the averages is another signal a trend is strengthening. ETHUSD is also well above both the 50- and 200-week MAs. Finally, the slope of the moving averages can be used similarly to a trend line. The 200-week moving average is still pointed in an upward trajectory. Meanwhile, the 50-week is just starting to turn direction upward. Related Reading: Rare Crypto Signal Emerges That Could Spark Another 2017-Style Boom The last time the golden cross appeared, Ethereum climbed another 680% before its peak. In contrast, the last time ETHUSD pushed above both moving averages in 2020, Ether rallied by more than 1,700%. Current price action has only brought Ethereum under 5% from the moment it made it above the two averages. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Plus, considering the macro and regulatory pressure on altcoins, another death cross could follow any day now. However, of ETHUSD can remain above the two averages, another impressive price increase could be around the corner. With all the noise in the market right now, everyone has entirely missed the fact #Ethereum has formed a weekly golden cross pic.twitter.com/ylNwp3DEUI — Tony “The Bull” (@tonythebullBTC) June 12, 2023 Tony is the author of the CoinChartist (VIP) newsletter. Follow @TonyTheBullBTC & @coinchartist_io on Twitter. Or join the TonyTradesBTC Telegram for daily market insights and technical analysis education. Please note: Content is educational and should not be considered investment advice. Featured image from iStockPhoto, Charts from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin Is About To See A Historically-Profitable Crossover In This Metric

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Puell Multiple is about to undergo a crossover that has historically been very bullish for BTC’s price. Bitcoin Puell Multiple Could Cross Its 365-Day MA In Near Future As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Bitcoin Puell Multiple has been approaching its 365-day moving average (MA) recently. The “Puell Multiple” here refers to a popular on-chain indicator that tells us about how the revenue of the Bitcoin miners compares against its yearly average. BTC miners earn their income through two sources, the transaction fees and the block subsidy, but in the context of the Puell Multiple, only the latter is relevant. Block subsidy is the reward miners receive as compensation for adding blocks to the network. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hashrate Falls Off, Miners Expecting Pause In Bull Run? When the indicator’s value is greater than 1, it means the miners are currently making a higher revenue than the average for the past year. On the other hand, it being under the threshold suggests the miners are earning less than usual. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Puell Multiple, as well as its 365-day MA, over the last few years: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Puell Multiple had plunged under the 1 mark earlier in the year, but recently, its value has seen a sharp rise back towards the mark. The reason behind the earlier plummet was the occurrence of the fourth BTC Halving. “Halvings” are events coded into the blockchain that automatically shave off the asset’s block subsidy in half every four years. As the Puell Multiple keeps track of the block subsidy, it naturally makes sense that the Halving would drastically affect the ratio’s value. Outside of the Halvings, the block subsidy remains constant in BTC value and is more or less given out at a constant rate. However, the ratio’s value can still change at times other than Halvings because it measures the USD value of the miner revenue. The rewards that miners get are in BTC and so, their value is also tied to the USD rate of the asset. With the cryptocurrency observing a sharp rally recently, the miner revenue seems to be back to the same as the 365-day MA. The 1 mark isn’t the only important level the Puell Multiple has risen to; it is now near its 365-day MA. In the chart, the quant highlighted what happened the last three times the metric broke above this line. It would appear that the asset went on to rally at least 76% each time. Related Reading: Is $135,000 Bitcoins Current Ceiling? This Model Says So It remains to be seen whether the Puell Multiple could break above this line, potentially giving a bullish signal for Bitcoin, or if the retest would fail. BTC Price Bitcoin has recently witnessed a cooldown in bullish momentum as its price has fallen to a sideways movement. At present, BTC is trading at around $91,900. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin Bull Run Not Over Yet? This Ratio Has Just Seen A Golden Cross

Data shows the ratio between two Bitcoin on-chain metrics has recently formed a pattern that has historically been bullish for the asset’s price. Bitcoin LTH/STH SOPR Ratio Has Crossed Above Its 90-Day MA Recently In a new post on X, CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr has discussed about the recent trend in the Bitcoin SOPR Ratio. The “Spent Output Profit Ratio” (SOPR) is an indicator that tells us about whether the Bitcoin investors as a whole are selling at a profit or loss. When the value of this metric is greater than 1, it means the average holder is making BTC transactions at a net profit. On the other hand, it being under the mark implies loss-taking is dominant on the network. Related Reading: Dogecoin Surges 16%, But Heres What DOGE Risk Indicator Says About Rally The SOPR Ratio, the actual metric of interest here, keeps track of the ratio between the version of the SOPR specifically for short-term holders and that for long-term holders. Short-term holders (STHs) and long-term holders (LTHs) are the two main divisions of the Bitcoin userbase made on the basis of holding time. The cutoff between these cohorts is 155 days, with investors who hold past this mark moving from the STHs to the LTHs. Now, here is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trend in the Bitcoin SOPR Ratio and its 90-day moving average (MA) over the history of the cryptocurrency: As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin SOPR Ratio has seen a surge recently, which suggests the LTHs have been ramping up their profit-taking compared to the STHs. This trend is something that has historically been witnessed during bullish periods, since the LTHs are resolute entities who tend to amass large profits by the time the bull run hits in full swing. The STHs are by definition the holders who bought within the past five months, meaning that their cost basis lies somewhere around the prices that BTC was trading at inside this window. Thus, their profits are never as big as the LTHs, who often have their cost basis close to bear market lows. This is why the ratio blows up toward the LTHs in bullish periods. With the latest increase, the SOPR Ratio has reached a value of 1.8 and has surpassed its 90-day MA. In the chart, the CryptoQuant author has highlighted the past instances of this crossover. It would appear that this pattern has generally proven to be bullish for Bitcoin. Related Reading: Is It Too Late To Accumulate Bitcoin? What This Indicator Says Naturally, the profit-taking from the LTHs can be a concern, but as is apparent from the graph, the cycle has usually only been at risk of topping out when the ratio has broken above a value of 7. Thus, there could still be plenty of room to run for Bitcoin, with demand potentially absorbing the LTH profit-taking until the same extreme levels as the past cycles. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at around $68,200, up more than 1% over the last 24 hours. Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

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Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Says BTC Is Overpriced, Decline Soon?

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross has neared the overvalued zone recently, a sign that a drawdown could be coming. Related Reading: XRP FUD Spikes, Will This Trigger A Price Reversal? Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Is Near “Overpriced” Territory An analyst in a CryptoQuant post pointed out that the BTC NVT Golden Cross [...]

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Golden Cross vs Death Cross: Cross Signal Sensationalism Explained

Are Golden Crosses and Death Crosses all they're cracked up to be?

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Bitcoin NVT Shows Bearish Crossover, Price Drop Incoming?

On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Network Value To Transactions (NVT) ratio has formed a bearish crossover, a sign that a decline may be imminent. Bitcoin NVT Ratio Has Formed A Historical Bearish Crossover The “NVT ratio” is an indicator that measures the ratio between the Bitcoin market cap and transaction volume. In simple terms, what this metric tells us is whether the asset’s price (the market cap) is fairly valued compared to the network’s ability to transact coins (the transaction volume). When the ratio has a value above 1, it means that the price may be overinflated right now, as the blockchain isn’t observing the shift of any significant amount of capital. The risk of a correction taking place generally goes up the higher the metric trends above this mark. On the other hand, the indicator being below the threshold can imply that the market cap may be undervalued currently, and thus, a price surge may be due for the asset. In the context of the current discussion, the NVT ratio itself isn’t of interest, but rather a modified form called the “NVT golden cross” is. This metric compares the short-term moving average (MA) of the NVT ratio (10-day) to its long-term MA (30-day). As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, this NVT golden cross may be forming a pattern currently that could lead to a correction in the asset’s price. The below chart shows the trend in the Bitcoin NVT golden cross and the 30-day exponential moving average (EMA) of the same over the past year: The two metrics seem to have crossed each other in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin NVT golden cross has been going down recently and has just crossed under its 30-day EMA. This line appears to have historically been significant for the asset, as the instances marked by the analyst shows. Related Reading: Crypto Storm Brewing: Bitcoin Vortex Indicator Flashes Buy Alert Generally, whenever the indicator has crossed below this EMA line, the cryptocurrency’s value has taken a hit. From the chart, it’s visible that this pattern has already held up a few times during this rally so far. Naturally, if this historical precedence is anything to go by, then the current bearish crossover might also lead to Bitcoin registering a drawdown in the near future. It should be noted, though, that the crossover may not be fully confirmed yet, as the NVT golden cross has only slightly gone below the 30-day EMA so far. So it’s possible that the indicator could turn itself around in the coming days and cancel out the cross. Related Reading: Will Binance’s Zero-Fee Trading Help Bitcoin And Ethereum Prices It now remains to be seen, whether the Bitcoin NVT golden cross and the 30-day EMA would keep going in the same trajectories and solidify the cross, or if the pattern would retrace. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading around $29,200, down 1% in the last week. BTC has continued to show stagnation recently | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView Featured image from mana5280 on Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

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