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CATEGORY: bitcoin price prediction 2025


Dec 14, 2024 12:05

Can Bitcoin Hit $160,000 In 2025? Matrixport Thinks So

Singapore-based crypto service provider Matrixport predicts that Bitcoin may reach as high as $160,000 by 2025. In a newly released report, titled Matrix on Target (Issue #2024-112), the firm outlines a scenario in which increased institutional adoption, macroeconomic evolution, and broadening global liquidity could push the leading cryptocurrency to unprecedented levels. Why Bitcoin Will Reach $160,000 In 2025 Matrixports research team notes that Bitcoins performance in 2024 exceeded multiple key price projections and validated their previous analytical frameworks. According to the report, this strength has been propelled by institutional investors who embraced the Bitcoin ETF market. These investors have realized substantial gains, incentivizing further allocation as we move into 2025, states Matrixport. The report highlights Bitcoins emergence as a portfolio component, underscoring that our analysis recommends a 1.55% allocation to achieve optimal diversification while maintaining portfolio stability. This approach reflects Bitcoins gradual integration into traditional investment strategies, as well as its evolving status as a macro-relevant asset. Related Reading: Bitcoin To $250,000, Ethereum To $12,000: Heres When, Says VC CIO Looking ahead, Matrixports analysis emphasizes the approaching 8% adoption threshold that could signal a turning point for Bitcoin. Drawing parallels to other technologies that experienced exponential growth once this threshold was crossed. Historically, technologies that cross this mark, such as smartphones and social media, experience exponential growth driven by network effects and broader accessibility. As Bitcoin gains mainstream acceptance, it is poised to transition from a niche asset to a core component of global financial markets, the firm forecasts. Matrixport also details a shift in market dynamics. Historically, Bitcoins cycles were defined by steep 80% retracements, but this pattern may be diminishing. The firm reports a growing base of dip buyers and institutional support, which it says reduces the probability of severe corrective phases. While temporary consolidations remain a part of market structure, Matrixport anticipates these to be less pronounced, reflecting Bitcoins maturation as an asset class. Regarding specific price forecasts, Matrixport outlines a +60% upside as the market progresses into 2025, culminating in a $160,000 price target for Bitcoin. The report attributes this target to sustained demand for Bitcoin ETFs, supportive macroeconomic conditions, and an expansion in global liquidity. Related Reading: Australias Biggest Pension Fund Makes Historic $17M Bitcoin Investment, A National First Matrixports proprietary Greed & Fear Indexa barometer for market sentimentindicates stable conditions. The report claims that the current consolidation phase may be shorter than previous ones, with stabilized funding rates and normalized market conditions. In turn, the analysts see the stage set for renewed upward momentum. Matrixport also calls attention to Bitcoins recent resilience, noting that the swift recovery from recent overheated conditions supports the notion that BTC price is well-positioned for another growth cycle. The overarching view remains optimistic. Matrixport concludes that the outlook for 2025 remains bullish, with Bitcoins track record as an inflation hedge, and its integration into institutional portfolios suggest a transformative year ahead. The firm concludes: As adoption accelerates and the market matures, Bitcoin is positioned to achieve new all-time highs, further solidifying its role as a cornerstone of the global financial landscape. At press time, BTC traded at $100,371. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Nov 29, 2024 12:05

Bitcoin Wont Hit $400,000 This Cycle, VanEck CEO Reveals Realistic Price Target

In an interview with Mario Nawfal, Jan van Eck, CEO of $118 billion global asset manager VanEck, offered an analysis of Bitcoin’s potential trajectory, the US fiscal deficit, and the broader financial markets. Contrary to some hyper-bullish forecasts, van Eck provided a more conservative price target for Bitcoin for this bull run. Van Eck stated, “Our thesis is effectively that Bitcoin will keep to the halving cycle, so we’re looking at sort of $150,000 to $180,000 this cycle as a price target.” He dismissed the notion that Bitcoin could reach $400,000 in the current cycle, suggesting that such a milestone might be achieved in the next cycle. “In the next cycle, it reaches my target of half the value of gold, so $400,000 plus depending on the price of gold,” he added. Discussing the US fiscal deficit, van Eck identified it as “the elephant in the room” and a significant concern for the markets. “We are spending money that’s just completely unsustainable, and for any other country, they’d be headed towards bankruptcy,” he remarked. Related Reading: Will Bitcoin See Another Thanksgiving Day Massacre? Experts Weigh In He outlined two prevailing schools of thought in Washington regarding fiscal policy. The first is the lobbyist perspective, which asserts that it’s impossible to cut spending significantly, resulting in minimal slowing of growth in the budget deficit. The second is the “extreme disruptors” approach, advocating for a $500 billion cut in government spending. Van Eck credited this figure to Vivek Ramaswamy, co-head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), stating, “They can effectuate that because there are 1,200 programs that are no longer authorized but still spending money, which means that they can terminate them with an executive order.” He described this target as “healthy” and “realistic,” although acknowledging it would not close the entire deficit, which was $1.8 trillion last year. Addressing the market’s reaction to the election of President Trump, van Eck found it peculiar that despite a clear electoral outcome, there remains uncertainty about fiscal policy. “We had a sweep by one political party, yet we don’t really know what their fiscal policy is gonna be,” he observed. He noted that the initial market reaction was negative for gold because of the possibility of government restructuring. “The initial reaction was negative gold because the idea was, wow, maybe they will be able to restructure government. Never bet against Elon, right?” he said. Related Reading: Bitcoin Adoption Grows As Rumble Unveils $20 Million BTC Treasury Strategy Van Eck also commented on geopolitical tensions, particularly the situation in Ukraine and the approval of long-range missiles striking deep into Russian territory. While acknowledging that such events can impact markets, he cautioned, “The problem is geopolitical stuff is completely uninvestable. We never know what next headline is coming, and we don’t know if it’s going to be bullish or bearish.” He advised that professional investors often choose to “do absolutely nothing” in response to geopolitical uncertainties. Catalysts For Bitcoin Price On the subject of institutional interest in Bitcoin and regulatory shifts, van Eck emphasized that the regulatory environment plays a crucial role. “It really depends on the regulatory environment,” he said. He pointed out that while regions like Asia have seen regulators giving the green light, the US has been relatively quiet. However, he noted a recent uptick in interest: “Now, with the new regime, suddenly the phone is ringing.” Van Eck revealed his personal investment stance, stating, “That’s why I have a huge personal investment in Bitcoin and gold.” He expressed optimism about Bitcoin’s maturation process, likening it to a child growing up: “I would say it’s sort of like a teenager, and what gets it to mature is new investor sets coming in.” He noted that while individual investors have embraced Bitcoin ETFs, the wealth management industry has yet to fully engage. Addressing the correlation between Bitcoin and traditional markets, particularly the NASDAQ, van Eck admitted concern: “The thing that worried me the most […] Bitcoin’s correlation to the NASDAQ was high.” He explained that this high correlation made Bitcoin less attractive to professional investors who were already overexposed to mega-cap tech stocks. However, he remains hopeful that Bitcoin’s correlation will diminish: “Rooting for and expecting that its correlation will go back to zero, which it has been for the long term.” At press time, BTC traded at $95,350. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Will $100K Bitcoin price trigger a big correction?

Author: Cointelegraph by Yashu Gola
United States
Nov 22, 2024 12:01

Will $100K Bitcoin price trigger a big correction?

Bitcoin price targets for 2025 range from $100,000 to $200,000, but a fractal indicator warns about a 40% crash first. 

Oct 25, 2024 12:05

$200,000 Bitcoin In 2025? $791 Billion Asset Manager Calls It Conservative

Bernstein Research, the esteemed research arm of global asset manager AllianceBernstein, is projecting that Bitcoin will reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. The firm, which manages assets worth $791 billion as of August 2024, labels this prediction as “conservative” in its latest 160-page “Black Book” on Bitcoin. Why BTC Price Will Hit $200,000 In 2025 Bernstein’s report, titled “From Coin to Computing: The Bitcoin Investing Guide,” delves into the multifaceted dynamics propelling Bitcoin’s ascent. The firm underscores the surge in institutional adoption, the burgeoning market for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and the evolving role of Bitcoin miners in both the cryptocurrency and artificial intelligence (AI) sectors. “If you are a Bitcoin skeptic maybe a limited supply, ‘store of value’ digital asset is not such a bad thing in a world where U.S. debt hits new records ($35 trillion now) and threats of inflation still loom. If you like gold here, you should love Bitcoin even more,” writes Gautam Chhugani, Managing Director and Senior Analyst at Bernstein. Related Reading: Expert Sets $285,000 Bitcoin Price Target Based On Quantile Model The report highlights a significant shift in institutional investment patterns. According to Bernstein, global asset managers now hold approximately $60 billion worth of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, a fivefold increase from $12 billion in September 2022. The firm describes the launch of these ETFs as “the most successful in the history of exchange-traded funds,” noting $18.5 billion in inflows year-to-date since their introduction in January. By 2024 end, we expect Wall Street to replace Satoshi as the top Bitcoin wallet,” the report states. Bernstein attributes this surge to the logistical challenges of self-custody for retail investors. “With institutional players flocking to Bitcoin, ETFs are proving to be the entry point for large-scale investment in digital assets,” the firm notes. Bernstein’s bullish stance on Bitcoin is underpinned by its analysis of market trends and institutional behavior. BTC price has already appreciated by 120% over the past 12 months, with its market capitalization swelling to $1.3 trillion. “With institutional adoption accelerating, we expect Bitcoin to triple from its current levels,” Bernstein projects. The firm anticipates that Bitcoin’s market cap could expand to over $3 trillion by the end of 2025, driven by increased allocations from wealth management platforms, pension funds, and registered investment advisors. The report also suggests that larger financial institutions will play a more dominant role as the market matures. “This new institutional era, in our view, could push Bitcoin to a high of $200,000 by 2025 end,” the analysts write, emphasizing that the forecast is “conservative” given the current trajectory of institutional involvement. Bitcoin Treasury And Mining Another focal point of Bernstein’s report is the growing adoption of Bitcoin as a corporate treasury asset. The firm highlights MicroStrategy Incorporated (NASDAQ: MSTR) as a pioneering example. Led by CEO Michael Saylor, MicroStrategy has allocated more than 99% of its cash holdings to Bitcoin, owning approximately 1.3% of the total Bitcoin supply. Related Reading: Bitcoins Network Fundamentals Turn BullishHere Are The Details “We view MicroStrategy as an active leveraged Bitcoin equity strategy,” Bernstein states, pointing out that the company’s stock has offered superior returns compared to holding Bitcoin directly or via ETFs. Bernstein’s report also sheds light on the consolidation trends within the Bitcoin mining industry. Major players like Riot Platforms (NASDAQ: RIOT), CleanSpark (NASDAQ: CLSK), and Marathon Digital Holdings are acquiring smaller miners, leading to an industry dominated by industrial-scale operations. “Leading US Bitcoin miners are consolidating share and becoming energy infrastructure players,” the report notes. “We expect Riot, CleanSpark, and Marathon to consolidate the Bitcoin mining industry.” Bernstein predicts that these leading miners will control 30% of Bitcoin’s total hashrate by 2025. The analysts further explore the synergy between Bitcoin mining and AI infrastructure. Bitcoin miners are emerging as attractive partners for GPU cloud providers, offering gigawatt-scale energy access and reducing the “time to market” for energizing AI data centers. “Miners present an energy arbitrage opportunity, trading at $2-4 million per megawatt, compared to $30-50 million per megawatt for legacy data centers,” Bernstein observes. Companies like Core Scientific and Iris Energy are capitalizing on this by developing AI data centers alongside Bitcoin mining operations. “Bitcoin miners are evolving into essential partners for AI data centers as they capitalize on excess energy capacity and offer efficient solutions for high-performance computing,” Bernstein states. This convergence not only diversifies revenue streams for miners but also enhances the sustainability and scalability of AI infrastructures. At press time, BTC traded at $67,162. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

US cleared to sell $6.5B in Bitcoin  Will it crash BTC price?

Author: Cointelegraph by Yashu Gola
United States
Jan 10, 2025 12:00

US cleared to sell $6.5B in Bitcoin  Will it crash BTC price?

The US government holds about $18.50 billion worth of Bitcoin, which it may sell entirely ahead of Donald Trumps presidency.

Jan 04, 2025 12:05

Bitcoin To Hit $225,000 By End Of Year, Predicts Venerable US Investment Bank

In a newly released investor note, one of the oldest US investment banks H.C. Wainwright & Co. established in 1868is projecting substantial upswing for the Bitcoin price. According to the note, the institution has revised its previous Bitcoin price target for the end of 2025 from $145,000 to $225,000, underpinned by a confluence of historical trends, macroeconomic indicators, and emerging regulatory and institutional factors. We estimate BTC will reach a cycle high of $225,000 by YE2025, stated the firm, referencing both market cycles and the potential for a more supportive digital-asset regulatory landscape in the United States in 2025 under a new administration. Why Bitcoin Could $225,000 By Year End H.C. Wainwrights analysis highlights several pivotal forces propelling Bitcoins growth trajectory. One significant catalyst is the wider availability of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the US, a development that could unlock new waves of institutional capital. The firm also cites accelerating institutional investor and corporate adoption as a major contributor to its bullish outlook. Related Reading: Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Sinks To Lowest Since FTX Crash: Bottom In? On top of that, the investment banks models assume an overall market backdrop that improves in tandem with global liquidity and that any regulatory overhang will abate. H.C. Wainwright is careful to note that the forecast is sensitive to macroeconomic conditions, particularly measured by M2 money supply, which has trended downward since October. Though projecting a lofty six-figure price by 2025, H.C. Wainwright acknowledged that Bitcoins path toward $225,000 is unlikely to be a smooth ride. In the report, the bank cautioned: ~20-30% drawdowns during bull markets are not uncommon [] We estimate BTC could retrace back down to the mid-$70,000 range in early 1Q25 before resuming its uptrend. They attribute these possible pullbacks to Bitcoins historical volatility and its correlation with global liquidity trends. Related Reading: 2025 Bitcoin Predictions: Top Fund Manager Shares His Outlook If Bitcoin reaches $225,000 per coin, H.C. Wainwright projects a total Bitcoin market capitalization of approximately $4.5 trillionaround 25% of golds current $18 trillion market cap. This scenario translates to a 113% increase over current levels. However, the note adds a striking scenario that is not yet factored into its core forecast: Our new 2025 price target does not factor in the potential for the US government to officially adopt BTC as a treasury reserve asset at the federal level next year. If implemented, we believe it is plausible that BTC could significantly exceed our base case price target. The institutions analysis also extends to the broader crypto market. Historically, Bitcoins dominance (its share of total crypto market cap) tends to fall during market peaks, and it dipped into the low 40% range near the last bull cycle peak in November 2021. Looking forward, H.C. Wainwright expects Bitcoins dominance to decline to 45% by the end of 2025, down from around 56% currently. Under that assumption, the firm sees the total crypto market swelling from $3.6 trillion today to approximately $10 trillion by years end 2025. H.C. Wainwrights coverage universe of publicly traded Bitcoin mining companies stands to benefit from the anticipated price surge. If our predictions are correct, there is the potential for significant upward estimate revisions for our coverage universe over the course of next year. At press time, BTC traded at $96,221. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

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